Saturday, January 26, 2013

Tuesday Severe Storm Threat

Monday Evening Update: Not much has chanced with previous updates concerning the severe weather threat but now that we are closer to the actual event, I wanted to reinforce a few points.
  1. An unusually strong cold front will be crossing the area during the overnight hours Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. 
  2. Winds will be quite strong, even outside of thunderstorms, ahead of the cold front leading to areas of wind damage. 
  3. Main severe parameters with any storms will be destructive winds and even an isolated tornado, along with heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding. 
I encourage everyone to review severe weather safety with your family and make sure to know where to take shelter at a moments notice if you are awakened by the storm or weather radio in the middle of the night.
Here is the latest risk map from the Storm Prediction Center which may still change a little with their Tuesday morning update.
On a self-promotion note....Meteorologist Trent Okerson and I have tested the waters by producing a Webisode Series called, Breeding Extreme Weather & Climate. To hear more of our thoughts on tomorrow night's severe weather threat, plus some random rambling, you can watch here in the player below. We hope that our set/humor/graphics/appearance all grow with time. :) Episode 2 will be headed your way Tuesday afternoon! Enjoy.

Sunday Morning Update: The Storm Prediction Center has outlined area for a Slight Risk of severe storms Tues/Tues Night which includes the Local 6 area. The general thinking is the same as detailed below.


TwisterData.com - Colors represent temperatures
For about a week, forecast models have been hinting at a threat for severe weather for the Local 6 area on Tuesday/Tuesday night. As temperatures soar into the upper 60's, possibly hit 70, and moisture streams north from the Gulf of Mexico ahead of a strong cold front, storms will become numerous across the area during that time period. While upper level support is marginal, a ton of energy will be rotating through the mid-Mississippi Valley to warrant at least a line or segments of strong to severe storms.




Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlook - Day 4 (Red = Tuesday)

Widespread wind damage will be the primary threat but an isolated tornado cannot be rules out either. To the right is the Day 4 (Tuesday/Tuesday Night) outlook for severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center. A few storms may also be possible starting late Sunday night through Tuesday as our region sits in a warm and humid air mass typical of Spring.

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