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Showing posts from August, 2015

Strong El Nino Impacts for Winter in the Mid-South

Wednesday September 9, 2015 Update: Created by Jennifer Rukavina via NOAA/ESRL Data The current trend will continue as NOAA continues to forecast a strong El Nino episode through late Winter and possibly Spring 2016. The following two graphics show on a map what I have detailed below about "Notable El Nino Episodes for Winter". Winters tend to be warmer than normal and precipitation stays fairly average. The two maps compare the previously mentioned winter El Nino episodes to the long-term average from 1950-2007. Created by Jennifer Rukavina via NOAA/ESRL Data August 21, 2015 Original Post Forecasting into the season ahead is most accurate when looking to similar weather patterns of the past. As you have probably seen in the news El Nino is expected to strengthen into the upcoming fall and winter. I've done a little digging into the historical record to find out how we have fared during similar El Nino episodes. Here is what I was able to fin