Friday Midday Update:The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded most of the Local 6 area to an ENHANCED RISK of severe storms today. The threats still include damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes.
The timing still looks pretty accurate according to the forecast images below. We anticipate scattered storms to develop and move east by early afternoon. A more organized line of possibly severe storms should develop over Missouri by early evening and push east before midnight tonight.
A few strong storms may skirt our area Thursday Night then redevelop by midday on Friday and bring along the threat of damaging winds, hail and even an isolated tornado. An additional threat is flash flooding. Our ground is fairly saturated so heavy rainfall may collect quickly in low lying areas. Any given thunderstorm may produce 1-2" of rainfall. Total rainfall may reach beyond that amount but the duration of rain should not be prolonged.
Below is a general model forecast for what may unfold tomorrow. I believe showers and storms will be possible anytime throughout the day but a final push of stronger storms is looking more likely by Friday evening. Be alert to quickly changing conditions throughout the day and make sure to enable your mobile alerts and weather radio to receive warnings in the event that you may be in the path of these storms.