Skip to main content

July 3rd Sunday Severe Storm Risk

Please be sure to have a way to receive severe weather alerts for the holiday weekend, especially Sunday and Monday.





Sunday Afternoon Update: A Tornado Watch
has been issued for most of the Local 6 area until 10PM. A warm front sits across Southern Illinois and Indiana allowing for a more unstable air mass across IL/KY this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has been watching our region for the past couple of day for the threat of severe storms this afternoon and evening. An isolated tornado is also possible. Damaging winds will be the primary threat with storms that develop. Here is the latest map the Storm Prediction Center put out mid-afternoon. Be alert that conditions will change quickly this afternoon and evening and those who are spending time outdoors or on area lakes should be especially vigilant.

Friday PM Update:
Unfortunate timing with the holiday weekend finally here but a chance of severe storms has crept into the forecast for Sunday the 3rd and Monday the 4th. The Local 6 region is also one of the only areas in the US under the risk of these storms as outlined in the graphic to the right from the Storm Prediction Center.
Damaging winds, large hail, and even an isolated tornado is possible with storms that become severe on Sunday. 
Heavy rain across MO/IL will set in by Saturday night and lift to the NE along a warm front. This warm front will put the Local 6 area in the warm, unstable sector of the storms system moving in from the Central Plains on Sunday. Throughout the morning hours temperatures will grow warmer and the humidity higher. By early to mid afternoon, showers and thunderstorms will develop well ahead of the cold front to our west. These storms will possibly become severe pretty quickly with the heating of the day. The cold front itself will loom back to our west and slowly advance our way Sunday night and Monday the 4th. Scattered showers and storms will continue on and off and some could be strong. The highest risk for severe storms at this point appears to be Sunday afternoon and evening. Flash flooding could also become a risk as storms slowly trek our way along the cold front Sunday night and Monday. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect for the St. Louis area this weekend if you happen to be traveling there for the holiday.

To sign up for the Free Mobile Alerts service for your cellphone: CLICK HERE and make sure you click on the "weather alerts" tab.


To sign up for the Weather Call subscription service: CLICK HERE. Yearly subscriptions range from $9.95 - $11.95 to receive an instant phone call/text if you are in the direct path of a dangerous storm.


Here is a look at the timing of development on Sunday afternoon. Be sure to keep tuned to the weather if you plan to spend time outdoors this weekend and Monday. Bookmark the link to this post...I will be updating several times over the weekend.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Mid-South Winter Outlook 2023-2024

Getting a general idea of what the upcoming Winter months (December, January and February) will look like for our region can be heavily influenced by El Nino and La Nina episodes. Global and oceanic forecasters have observed El Nino conditions in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean and an EL NINO ADVISORY has been issued. The episode is expected to continue through Spring (March, April and May) in the Northern Hemisphere. Model projections are pointing to a strong, possibly very strong episode occurrence.  (Current Sea Surface Temps warming off S. America) Meteorologists look at monthly data from Dec - Jan - Feb to determine a winter season average, or define that period of time as Meteorological Winter. An average winter in the Local 6 area shows an average temperature of 37 degrees, average precipitation total of 12.18" and average snowfall of 8.4". The National Weather Service in Paducah has historical data that covers 7 of the past strongest El Nino episodes in the past
Post a Comment
Read more

Planting Zones Heading North

As our global climate changes, so does our planting zones, helping us determine which flowers/shrubs/trees are hardy in specific areas. The Local 6 area has always been split by 2-3 growing zones so placement becomes very important to those in the agricultural community. The image below represents the average over the past 30 years. Climate Central published the following information:  "What kinds of flowers, shrubs and trees you’ll find at your local nursery depends on your climate — how warm it tends to get in summer, and how cold in winter. A plant that’s happy in Wisconsin might be miserable in Alabama, and vice versa. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has formalized these differences into " hardiness zones " — strips of similar climate that run more or less east-to-west (except in the high mountains), where particular plants should do especially well. But as the planet warms under its thickening blanket of greenhouse gases, those zones are shifting northward. Th
46 comments
Read more

Update: Impacts From Tropical Depression Bill

Friday AM Update Heavy rain still appears to be our greatest concern as the remnants of Tropical Storm Bill pass directly over the Local 6 area throughout the day today. A Flash Flood WATCH continues for Southern Illinois, SE Missouri, and the Ohio River counties in Western Kentucky through Saturday. Here is a look at today's forecast concerning rainfall totals from the Weather/Hydrological Prediction Center. In any given area, 2-4 inches of rain will be possible. Low-lying areas are most prone to flash flooding. Showers and storms will increase in coverage and intensity during the day on Friday.  Keep preparedness and awareness in mind as heavy rain moves in. Locate areas of higher ground in the event you need to retreat there. Never drive across flooded roadways. Keep children from playing in flood waters. Water depth and swiftness is difficult to determine. Below is the latest Flash Flooding Potential Briefing from the Paducah National Weather Service.
1 comment
Read more