Heavy Rain Event Mon-Tues

Sunday AM Update:

In addition to the information posted Friday night, here is a look at the latest rainfall projections. Some areas may see locally a little more that what the computer model is showing but this gives you an idea of what to expect as rain moves in late tonight and Monday. Right now there is a threat for storms to become severe to our South but we will be keeping an eye on NW Tennessee and the MO Bootheel to see if any of those storms drift northward amidst the axis of greatest warmth and moisture. I've included the severe storm outlook from the Storm Prediction Center below the rainfall totals. Preparedness reminders are also posted below.

Friday PM Update:

Moderate drought conditions have plagued the Local 6 area for most of meteorological Fall (Sep-Nov). As we wrap up the month of November we'll also be in the midst of a heavy rain event set to begin late Sunday and Monday and continue through Tuesday. There is also a small chance of rain on Wednesday of next week. While we certainly need rain we don't need it to come in one big dose.
For the first time in many weeks a feed of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will be readily available for the sub-tropical jet to transport into our region.

Periods of heavy rain are expected to overspread SE Missouri and Southern Illinois as early as Sunday night. This slow moving band of showers and thunderstorms will then push east Monday and early on Tuesday. A secondary push of moisture may bring another quick round of rain on Wednesday.

This weekend is the time to prepare for rain before it moves in especially if you live near large drainage ditches or low-lying landscape. Recently fallen leaves will likely block proper drainage of heavy rain and cause localized flooding. Clearing drainage areas of these leaves and debris will go a long way to preventing any unnecessary water problems.

Look for updates to the forecast and rainfall projections here throughout the weekend and on Local 6!

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Mid-South Winter Outlook 2023-2024

Getting a general idea of what the upcoming Winter months (December, January and February) will look like for our region can be heavily influenced by El Nino and La Nina episodes. Global and oceanic forecasters have observed El Nino conditions in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean and an EL NINO ADVISORY has been issued. The episode is expected to continue through Spring (March, April and May) in the Northern Hemisphere. Model projections are pointing to a strong, possibly very strong episode occurrence. (Current Sea Surface Temps warming off S. America) Meteorologists look at monthly data from Dec - Jan - Feb to determine a winter season average, or define that period of time as Meteorological Winter. An average winter in the Local 6 area shows an average temperature of 37 degrees, average precipitation total of 12.18" and average snowfall of 8.4". The National Weather Service in Paducah has historical data that covers 7 of the past strongest El Nino episodes in the past

Planting Zones Heading North

As our global climate changes, so does our planting zones, helping us determine which flowers/shrubs/trees are hardy in specific areas. The Local 6 area has always been split by 2-3 growing zones so placement becomes very important to those in the agricultural community. The image below represents the average over the past 30 years. Climate Central published the following information: "What kinds of flowers, shrubs and trees you’ll find at your local nursery depends on your climate — how warm it tends to get in summer, and how cold in winter. A plant that’s happy in Wisconsin might be miserable in Alabama, and vice versa. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has formalized these differences into " hardiness zones " — strips of similar climate that run more or less east-to-west (except in the high mountains), where particular plants should do especially well. But as the planet warms under its thickening blanket of greenhouse gases, those zones are shifting northward. Th

Update: Impacts From Tropical Depression Bill

Friday AM Update Heavy rain still appears to be our greatest concern as the remnants of Tropical Storm Bill pass directly over the Local 6 area throughout the day today. A Flash Flood WATCH continues for Southern Illinois, SE Missouri, and the Ohio River counties in Western Kentucky through Saturday. Here is a look at today's forecast concerning rainfall totals from the Weather/Hydrological Prediction Center. In any given area, 2-4 inches of rain will be possible. Low-lying areas are most prone to flash flooding. Showers and storms will increase in coverage and intensity during the day on Friday. Keep preparedness and awareness in mind as heavy rain moves in. Locate areas of higher ground in the event you need to retreat there. Never drive across flooded roadways. Keep children from playing in flood waters. Water depth and swiftness is difficult to determine. Below is the latest Flash Flooding Potential Briefing from the Paducah National Weather Service.

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