Skip to main content

Winter Storm #2, Flooding Threat


SATURDAY IS A WEATHER AUTHORITY ALERT DAY!

Friday PM Update:
Sleet and freezing rain continues to fall across much of the area and will switch between freezing rain and rain throughout the day on Saturday. A FLOOD WATCH is now in effect through Saturday evening. Ice covered snow will make it difficult for rain to soak into the soil below leaving us vulnerable to flash flooding and flooding of low lying areas. Here are the latest projected rainfall and ice accumulation totals:


















Thursday PM Update:
With the potential for ice accumulation, we may also want to be prepared for some sporadic power outages across our area. Here is an exclusive look at the Power Outage Risk Map for our area:
The time period for this map is Friday 11 PM to Saturday 10 PM

Thursday Afternoon Update:
New winter weather advisories will be going into effect tonight. Here is the latest advisory map:
In addition to wintry weather we are still very concerned about flooding & flash flooding potential for Saturday once temps rise above freezing. With drainage grates being blocked by snow and with no ample way for water to soak into the ground, flash flooding scenarios are possible anywhere across our region. We are expecting light snow/sleet/glaze accumulation Friday afternoon and night before switching over to rain. Here is a look at the timeline we are expecting for the upcoming weekend and this winter storm. 



Wednesday PM Update:
Extreme cold is making headlines for tonight and Thursday as arctic air spills into the region. Here is a look at the windchill trend for Wednesday night into Wednesday morning:
A Wind Chill Advisory continues through 9AM on Thursday morning. In addition to the Wind Chill Advisory, a Winter Storm WATCH has been issued for NW Tennessee and the Missouri Bootheel. The latest advisories are listed below.
If you or someone you know needs a warm place to stay, here is a link to a list of local warming centers that we are aware of in the Local 6 region: WARMING CENTERS. 

On the heels of record cold temperatures, another winter storm is set to move through the region starting late Thursday night and continuing into the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will be well below freezing Thursday night and Friday making the onset of precipitation snow, sleet, and even freezing rain. We may even see snow and ice accumulation before precipitation switches over to rain Friday night and Saturday. Heavy rainfall will be possible Saturday which may lead to areas of flooding while snow and ice prevent water from saturating the ground below. Once cold air arrives once again on Sunday, another round of light snow accumulation will be possible. The graphic below outlines the timeline we are forecasting for the storm.

I will add potential snow/sleet/freezing rain/rain totals to this page on Thursday morning. Be prepared for another round of winter weather that will interrupt our daily routines all the way through the weekend ahead. If you live in a low-lying area, be alert of flooding potential on Saturday as temperatures reach just above freezing. The Paducah National Weather Service has put out this statement concerning the flooding potential:
"...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING LIKELY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL DRAW

MOISTURE NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH

SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD HEAVY

RAINFALL...WITH MOST AREAS RECEIVING BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES. A

FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND THAT COULD LEAD TO
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. 4 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOWPACK OVER THE
REGION COULD ADD ANOTHER ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF
RUNOFF WITH THE HEAVY RAINS.
THIS AMOUNT OF RUNOFF WILL EASILY OVERWHELM MANY DRAINAGE
SYSTEMS...RESULTING FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...IF A
SIGNIFICANT LAYER OF ICE DEVELOPS ON TOP OF THE SNOW FROM FREEZING
RAIN EXPECTED EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT...THIS COULD INSULATE THE SNOW
AND KEEP IT FROM MELTING. THE RUNOFF WOULD THEN BE FORCED DIRECTLY
INTO PLOWED ROADWAYS...RESULTING IN A VERY DANGEROUS FLASH
FLOODING SITUATION."

Preparedness for all aspects of this storm should come to completion by Thursday evening and Friday morning. Be alert to quickly changing conditions throughout.

Comments

essay best said…
Oh sad to know about this weather alert. There is lots of storm and cold breeze coming to that particular area. Map telling all the story of this bad weather. I hope all the things remain fine there.

Popular posts from this blog

Planting Zones Heading North

As our global climate changes, so does our planting zones, helping us determine which flowers/shrubs/trees are hardy in specific areas. The Local 6 area has always been split by 2-3 growing zones so placement becomes very important to those in the agricultural community. The image below represents the average over the past 30 years. Climate Central published the following information:  "What kinds of flowers, shrubs and trees you’ll find at your local nursery depends on your climate — how warm it tends to get in summer, and how cold in winter. A plant that’s happy in Wisconsin might be miserable in Alabama, and vice versa. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has formalized these differences into " hardiness zones " — strips of similar climate that run more or less east-to-west (except in the high mountains), where particular plants should do especially well. But as the planet warms under its thickening blanket of greenhouse gases, those zones are shifting northward. Th...

Longer Allergy Seasons

The National Phenology Network is showing the early arrival of leaves on trees in the Ohio Valley, the Midwest, and Western United States this year. This trend has become more of a norm over the past past 50 years.   Climate Central published data this week showing the same trend since 1970 with notable attention to the West where states are seeing as many as 17 more frost-free days, extending the growing season. Here in the Local 6 area, the growth is not as notable but still averaging between 4-9 days additional to the growing season. Why does this matter? Aside from having an influence on which plants are suitable for planting zones, it has a much higher societal impact by extending the allergy season.  "As the climate warms from the increase of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, the last spring freeze is trending earlier and the first fall freeze is coming later. This means the growing season is getting longer, and so is the pollen season— whether it i...

Tri-State Tornado Double Take

Credit: Chris Conley, Spotter  A well-forecast severe weather event unfolded Tuesday night starting in Southeast Missouri then blowing east into Southern Illinois, The Paducah National Weather Service along with local media gave people in Perryville, MO the early alarm that a large tornado was barreling their way. Storm spotter Chris Conley captured power flashes (right) from the violent tornado hitting power lines as the storm traveled from Perryville across the Mississippi River into Rockwood, IL after claiming one man's life on Interstate 55 and injuring 12 in Perryville. Credit: John Humphress, Spotter The supercell thunderstorm parent to this tornado was only getting started. Confirmation of a tornado and a trail of damage was reported in Rockwood, Ava, Elkville, Christopher, Buckner, Enfield and Crossfield, IL. Storm spotter John Humphress captured the wedge tornado (left) that struck Crossville where a man was killed trying to take shelter. Humphress recal...