Skip to main content

Severe Weather/Flooding Threat Thu-Fri


WEATHER AUTHORITY ALERT DAY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY FOR SEVERE STORMS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. 


10AM Thursday Update: Here is a breakdown of the risks the Storm Prediction Center has outlined for the Local 6 area:


Courtesy Storm Prediction Center
Courtesy Storm Prediction Center
The left graphic shows the tornado risk and the graphic on the right details the damaging wind threat.





1AM Thursday Update: The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded most of the Local 6 area to an ENHANCED RISK for severe weather for Thursday and Thursday Night. The highest likelihood of severe storms remains for Thursday overnight but severe storms are possible dayside as well, just not as widespread. 


Wednesday Evening Update: A stormy weather pattern will set up across our region from Wednesday night into Friday bringing the threat of severe weather and possible flooding. 

A moisture boundary will lift through our area overnight kicking off the first round of storms across the area. Most of these storms will remain below severe limits but will bring heavy rain, gusty winds, and even some small hail. By tomorrow afternoon, scattered storms will re-develop area-wide with a small chance of them becoming severe. 

As a cold front sits nearly stationary near I-64, warm and humid conditions will set the stage for a more organized threat for storms to become severe by late Thursday night. This threat will then continue through Friday morning and afternoon. Damaging winds, large hail, and even an isolated tornado are possible from Thursday night and Friday.

The Storm Prediction Center has outlined all of Southern Illinois, Southeast Missouri, and most of Western Kentucky in the SLIGHT RISK for severe storms on THURSDAY NIGHT and then all of Western Kentucky and NW Tennessee on Friday.

Be alert to quickly changing weather conditions starting Wednesday night. Several rounds of showers and storms will also bring with it higher than normal rainfall totals for parts of the area. Here is forecast look at what will accumulate over a 48-hour period from Wed night into Friday.





Labels:
Location: Paducah, KY, USA

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Planting Zones Heading North

As our global climate changes, so does our planting zones, helping us determine which flowers/shrubs/trees are hardy in specific areas. The Local 6 area has always been split by 2-3 growing zones so placement becomes very important to those in the agricultural community. The image below represents the average over the past 30 years. Climate Central published the following information:  "What kinds of flowers, shrubs and trees you’ll find at your local nursery depends on your climate — how warm it tends to get in summer, and how cold in winter. A plant that’s happy in Wisconsin might be miserable in Alabama, and vice versa. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has formalized these differences into " hardiness zones " — strips of similar climate that run more or less east-to-west (except in the high mountains), where particular plants should do especially well. But as the planet warms under its thickening blanket of greenhouse gases, those zones are shifting northward. Th...
46 comments
Read more

Round 3 on deck and wrap-up of snow depth thus far

Snow Depth as of December 30, 2012 with additional snow expected New Years Eve night. (Reports from viewers) It is becoming quite clear where the jet stream has set up for the start of winter. People in Southern Illinois and neighboring MO counties along the Mississippi River can barely keep the roads clear while everyone south of the Ohio River is wondering if we'll ever see snow this winter! :) New Year's Eve night is when we are expecting another (although light) snow event across the same areas where you see higher snow depths above. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY begins Monday at Noon and continues through Tuesday at 6AM for most of Southern Illinois and SEMO. The latest advisory map is below.  Winter Weather Advisory - Paducah/St. Louis National Weather Service Snow totals are not expected to be significant but with icy snow pack across much of the advisory area, any additional snow/sleet may make for hazardous conditions again for New Year's Eve night and New...
1 comment
Read more

Strong El Nino Impacts for Winter in the Mid-South

Wednesday September 9, 2015 Update: Created by Jennifer Rukavina via NOAA/ESRL Data The current trend will continue as NOAA continues to forecast a strong El Nino episode through late Winter and possibly Spring 2016. The following two graphics show on a map what I have detailed below about "Notable El Nino Episodes for Winter". Winters tend to be warmer than normal and precipitation stays fairly average. The two maps compare the previously mentioned winter El Nino episodes to the long-term average from 1950-2007. Created by Jennifer Rukavina via NOAA/ESRL Data August 21, 2015 Original Post Forecasting into the season ahead is most accurate when looking to similar weather patterns of the past. As you have probably seen in the news El Nino is expected to strengthen into the upcoming fall and winter. I've done a little digging into the historical record to find out how we have fared during similar El Nino episodes. Here is what I was able to fin...
3 comments
Read more