Risk for Severe Storms Monday Night

MONDAY IS A WEATHER AUTHORITY ALERT DAY

Nocturnal severe storms and tornadoes have always been part of our weather history during the Fall season and is why we stress the importance of prepared during our second severe weather season.

Monday evening and night will bring our next chance for severe storms to the Local 6 area. The Storm Prediction Center has included the Local 6 area in the SLIGHT RISK category for Monday evening/night. Will update if that information changes. Kentucky and Tennessee will see the greatest chance of storms turning severe.

As for timing, the threat for severe storms increases as the sun goes down Monday evening. The dynamics for severe storms peak around 5pm to 10pm across the Local 6 area. We may have a few severe storms outside of that time period but the greatest risk for widespread coverage will be during that window. Damaging winds and tornadoes will be possible with the forecast wind shear that will be present in our region.
Be sure to keep mobile alerts audible Monday night, check and refresh your weather radio and review severe weather safety plans before storms develop.

Comments

Planting Zones Heading North

As our global climate changes, so does our planting zones, helping us determine which flowers/shrubs/trees are hardy in specific areas. The Local 6 area has always been split by 2-3 growing zones so placement becomes very important to those in the agricultural community. The image below represents the average over the past 30 years. Climate Central published the following information: "What kinds of flowers, shrubs and trees you’ll find at your local nursery depends on your climate — how warm it tends to get in summer, and how cold in winter. A plant that’s happy in Wisconsin might be miserable in Alabama, and vice versa. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has formalized these differences into " hardiness zones " — strips of similar climate that run more or less east-to-west (except in the high mountains), where particular plants should do especially well. But as the planet warms under its thickening blanket of greenhouse gases, those zones are shifting northward. Th...

Round 3 on deck and wrap-up of snow depth thus far

Snow Depth as of December 30, 2012 with additional snow expected New Years Eve night. (Reports from viewers) It is becoming quite clear where the jet stream has set up for the start of winter. People in Southern Illinois and neighboring MO counties along the Mississippi River can barely keep the roads clear while everyone south of the Ohio River is wondering if we'll ever see snow this winter! :) New Year's Eve night is when we are expecting another (although light) snow event across the same areas where you see higher snow depths above. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY begins Monday at Noon and continues through Tuesday at 6AM for most of Southern Illinois and SEMO. The latest advisory map is below. Winter Weather Advisory - Paducah/St. Louis National Weather Service Snow totals are not expected to be significant but with icy snow pack across much of the advisory area, any additional snow/sleet may make for hazardous conditions again for New Year's Eve night and New...

Strong El Nino Impacts for Winter in the Mid-South

Wednesday September 9, 2015 Update: Created by Jennifer Rukavina via NOAA/ESRL Data The current trend will continue as NOAA continues to forecast a strong El Nino episode through late Winter and possibly Spring 2016. The following two graphics show on a map what I have detailed below about "Notable El Nino Episodes for Winter". Winters tend to be warmer than normal and precipitation stays fairly average. The two maps compare the previously mentioned winter El Nino episodes to the long-term average from 1950-2007. Created by Jennifer Rukavina via NOAA/ESRL Data August 21, 2015 Original Post Forecasting into the season ahead is most accurate when looking to similar weather patterns of the past. As you have probably seen in the news El Nino is expected to strengthen into the upcoming fall and winter. I've done a little digging into the historical record to find out how we have fared during similar El Nino episodes. Here is what I was able to fin...

Rukavina's Extreme Weather and Climate Blog

Search This Blog